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Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Monday morning, March 15, 2021
The avalanche danger remains CONSIDERABLE on steep, wind drifted slopes at upper elevations. On slopes facing the north half of the compass, wind drifted snow may have added enough of a load for avalanches to fail down to a buried persistent weak layer causing a deeper and more dangerous avalanche. At mid and lower elevations the danger is MODERATE. Avoid steep slopes where you can detect recent deposits of wind drifted snow.
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Special Announcements
Weather and Snow
Strong northwesterly winds blew most of the day yesterday finally backing off a little after midnight last night. Today look for partly cloudy skies as a transient ridge slides over the region. WNW winds will be mostly light switching to SW later today. High temps at 10,000' will be near 30F. On Tuesday, the next closed low moves in just south of the 4 Corners bringing us another chance for snow though amounts look light. Conditions dry out and warm up for the remainder of the week.
Snow totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
Snowpack Discussion
Snow totals varied across the range with what appears to be 5"-10". Strong NW winds have blown and drifted the new snow, especially in exposed terrain at upper elevations and steep, wind drifted slopes should be avoided. Look for wind drifts on the leeward sides of ridge crests and terrain features such as gully walls and sub ridges. Drifts are recognizable by their smooth, rounded appearance and cracking is a sign of instability. On steep, wind-loaded, northerly aspects, it may still be possible to trigger a deeper avalanche failing on a buried persistent weak layer of sugary, faceted snow.
Additional Information
Information on outdoor recreation - The State of Utah created this webpage with information about recreating on both state and federal public lands during the current health crisis.

New to the backcountry (including riding at closed resorts) - Watch the award-winning, 15 minute Know Before You Go video, or take the 5-part, free online-learning series.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.